Of course, as Frey concedes, “from the perspective of the worker there is not much of a difference” between work disappearing and being radically redefined.
In other words, the jobs themselves won’t entirely vanish rather, they will be redefined. It simply says that these jobs are exposed to automation. Speaking to me over the phone, Frey was quick to point out that his work doesn’t make any explicit predictions such as “47% of US jobs will disappear”. Which professions are at greatest risk?īefore we get too deep into doom and gloom, it’s worth stressing that automation isn’t synonymous with job losses.
As Stanford University academic Jerry Kaplan writes in Humans Need Not Apply: today, automation is “blind to the color of your collar.” It doesn’t matter whether you’re a factory worker, a financial advisor or a professional flute-player: automation is coming for you. The pace of change is exponentially faster and far wider in scope. Today’s technological revolution is an entirely different beast from the industrial revolution. While there have been optimistic predictions that new technology would increase prosperity and lower drudgery, very few of us are working the 15-hour work week that, in 1930, the economist John Maynard Keynes predicted would be the norm for his grandkids.
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